The best statistic for predicting MLB betting
Major League Baseball offers punters a plethora of betting opportunities, both during the regular season and when the play-offs get underway.
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Introducing statistics in MLB betting
There are tons of MLB markets available, and in each one the odds displayed reflect implied probability of something happening in an event.
For example, the Houston Astros are rated as +650 favourites to win the 2023 World Series, with all the other teams listed at higher odds.
In this instance, the bookmakers have used data and statistics to determine that Astros are the team most likely to get their hands on the trophy.
However, it may well be the case that punters can interpret the information in a different way to find better value in the same market.
The application of statistics to MLB bets
When making a bet on MLB games, there are several important statistics to consider. One of the most important is a team’s starting pitcher’s earned run average (ERA).
This is a measure of how many runs a pitcher allows per nine innings pitched, and is a key metric in determining the outcome of MLB matches.
A pitcher with a low ERA indicates that they have been effective in preventing opposing teams from scoring runs, and are more likely to give their team a chance to win.
By pinpointing when bookmakers have underestimated a pitcher’s ERA, you will be well on your way to identifying where the betting value lies.
MLB statistics and their link to betting value
Much like all of the other major North American sports, there is a plethora of data and statistics available for MLB.
Given the number of games played each season, bookmakers do not have the resources to consider every element of the information at their disposal.
By drilling down into the data and statistics, you will be able to identify the times when the bookies have made a misjudgement in an MLB market.
Making a profit in sports wagering relies heavily on cashing in on betting value – when you learn how to do this, you will win more bets than you lose.
The number 1 statistic for MLB betting
As mentioned earlier, earned run average is one of the most crucial statistics you must consider when placing any MLB bets.
It’s also important to look at a team’s ‘batting average’ and ‘on-base percentage’ (OBP). A team with a high batting average and OBP is more likely to score runs and win games.
Recent form, injuries, player absences and head-to-head record are among the other important factors to consider before wagering.
From there, you can then take advantage of betPARX’s stunning offer that gives you the chance to grab a lucrative $125 Sports Bonus when you sign-up for an account.
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